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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
520 AM CDT Tue May 21 2024

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-221030-
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro-
Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone-
Leon-Milam-Robertson-
520 AM CDT Tue May 21 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
A couple isolated thunderstorms may develop primarily along/west of
the I-35 corridor late this afternoon and evening. If a storm is
able to form, large hail will be the main threat, with a lower threat
of damaging wind gusts.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
Thunderstorm chances return Wednesday and continue through Thursday
night. Severe storms will be possible along with locally heavy
rainfall.

There is a low chance for thunderstorms Friday through Sunday, mainly
during the afternoon and evening.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Limited spotter activation may be requested this afternoon and
evening for areas generally along and west of I-35/35E.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
534 AM CDT Tue May 21 2024

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-221045-
Fisher-Nolan-Sterling-Coke-Runnels-Irion-Tom Green-Concho-
Crockett-Schleicher-Sutton-Haskell-Throckmorton-Jones-Shackelford-
Taylor-Callahan-Coleman-Brown-McCulloch-San Saba-Menard-Kimble-
Mason-
534 AM CDT Tue May 21 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of west central
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

There is a Slight Risk for severe thunderstorms late this
afternoon and evening in some of the eastern and southeastern
parts of the area. If storms can develop, there is a conditional
risk of large to very large hail, damaging wind gusts, and
dangerous lightning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

There is an Enhanced Risk for severe thunderstorms Wednesday
afternoon and evening just east of the Big Country, and extending
into eastern Brown County. There is a Slight Risk of severe
thunderstorms in the area east of a Haskell to San Angelo line,
and east to north of a San Angelo to Junction line. Potential
hazards include large to very large hail, damaging winds, and
dangerous lightning. There is also an isolated tornado risk.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation may be needed in parts of the area Wednesday
afternoon and evening, and on a limited basis late this afternoon
and evening.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
530 AM CDT Tue May 21 2024

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-221000-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
530 AM CDT Tue May 21 2024

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
TORNADO.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Mainly Far Northeast Oklahoma and Far Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Late Afternoon.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Mid to Late Afternoon.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Mainly Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Early Evening.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma and Far Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
South winds will gust to near 30 miles an hour at times today
across parts of northeast Oklahoma and far northwest Arkansas.

Scattered thunderstorms may develop from parts of southeast
Oklahoma into western Arkansas by mid to late afternoon. These
storms will have a limited severe weather potential with large
hail being the main threat. By late afternoon, storms may begin to
form near a cold front that will be entering northeast Oklahoma.
These storms will continue well into the evening and will advance
southeast with the cold front. The greatest storm coverage will be
across far northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. All severe
hazards will be possible with these storms through the evening
hours. Locally heavy rainfall will also be possible with the
storms this evening, mainly across parts of northwest Arkansas.

Additional storms may develop along the cold front late tonight
across mainly southeast Oklahoma, and will carry at least a
limited severe weather threat.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
SATURDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential.
SUNDAY and MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorms may be ongoing Wednesday morning across mainly
southeast Oklahoma with a continued severe weather threat.
Additional storms will form throughout the day Wednesday as the
frontal boundary stalls near the Red River. Severe weather and
heavy rainfall will both be possible with these storms.

Another round of strong to severe thunderstorms is expected
Thursday afternoon and evening as an upper level storm system
moves across the area. Locally heavy rainfall will again be
possible at this time.

An active weather pattern will continue through the weekend with
periodic storm chances. As of now, it appears the best chance for
severe storms over the weekend will be Saturday evening and
overnight.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
358 AM CDT Tue May 21 2024

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-220900-
Llano-Burnet-Williamson-Val Verde-Edwards-Real-Kerr-Bandera-
Gillespie-Kendall-Blanco-Hays-Travis-Bastrop-Lee-Kinney-Uvalde-
Medina-Bexar-Comal-Guadalupe-Caldwell-Fayette-Maverick-Zavala-
Frio-Atascosa-Wilson-Karnes-Gonzales-De Witt-Lavaca-Dimmit-
358 AM CDT Tue May 21 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for South-Central Texas..

.DAY ONE...Today And Tonight.

Unseasonal hot weather will begin to approach heat advisory
criteria over portions of South Central Texas today. High
temperatures today could reach the middle 90s over most areas and
as high as 105 over parts Val Verde County and the Rio Grande
Plains. Heat index values could climb into the 104 to 109 degree
range over much of the the I-35 Corridor, Coastal Prairies, and
Rio Grande Plains.

Late this afternoon and early this evening, the is a less than 10
percent chance for an isolated strong storm to approach severe
levels over parts of the Hill Country. Hail and strong wind gusts
would be the main concerns, should a thunderstorm develop.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The pattern for an early season heat wave continues Wednesday
through Monday with some of the hottest air projected to be
Friday through Sunday. Those spending extended time outdoors and
not acclimated to the heat could be susceptible to heat related
illness if not taking proper heat precautions, such as drinking
plenty of water and taking frequent breaks out of the sun and
heat. Heat Advisories are possible for some areas over the next
week.

Additionally, a few strong to severe thunderstorms are possible
late Wednesday afternoon and evening. Hail along with strong
winds are the primary hazards should storms develop across the
Edwards Plateau, Hill Country, or I-35 Corridor.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
329 AM CDT Tue May 21 2024

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-OKZ077-TXZ096-097-108>112-
124>126-136>138-149>151-221200-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-
Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Lincoln-McCurtain-
Red River-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-Morris-Cass-Wood-Upshur-Marion-
Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-Rusk-Panola-
329 AM CDT Tue May 21 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Arkansas,
southwest Arkansas, north central Louisiana, northwest Louisiana,
southeast Oklahoma and northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Isolated to widely scattered strong to severe thunderstorms will be
possible, mainly this evening and mainly north and west of the I-30
Corridor which includes far Northeast Texas and adjacent sections of
Southeast Oklahoma. Large hail and damaging thunderstorm wind gusts
would be the main threats, if and when these thunderstorms develop
and move into the Middle Red River Valley of Northeast Texas and
Southeast Oklahoma later this evening. Otherwise, no hazardous
weather is expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible across much of the
region on Wednesday, continuing through late Thursday into Thursday
Night as a series of disturbances moves our way. Damaging wind gusts
and large hail appear to be the main threats along with locally heavy
rainfall which could result in some isolated flooding threats,
especially across low lying and flood prone areas near and north of
the I-30 Corridor.

Small thunderstorm chances remain in the forecast for the upcoming
Memorial Holiday Weekend with hot temperatures as well during the
afternoon. Heat indices both Saturday and Sunday will likely reach
the triple digits across some areas. A cold front should move
through the region on Memorial Day or Monday Night, bringing with it
additional thunderstorm chances.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may become necessary across far Southeast Oklahoma
and Northeast Texas this evening.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
329 AM CDT Tue May 21 2024

LAZ010>014-017>022-TXZ152-153-165>167-221200-
De Soto-Red River-Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-Natchitoches-
Winn-Grant-Caldwell-La Salle-Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-
San Augustine-
329 AM CDT Tue May 21 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Louisiana,
northwest Louisiana and east Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible across portions of
the region on Wednesday, continuing through late Thursday into
Thursday Night as a series of disturbances moves our way. Damaging
wind gusts and large hail appear to be the main threats.

Small thunderstorm chances remain in the forecast for the upcoming
Memorial Holiday Weekend with hot temperatures as well during the
afternoon. Heat indices both Saturday and Sunday will likely reach
the triple digits across most areas. A cold front should move through
the region on Memorial Day or Monday Night, bringing with it
additional thunderstorm chances.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

$$

13

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Norman OK
258 AM CDT Tue May 21 2024

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-220800-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
258 AM CDT Tue May 21 2024

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

.Thunderstorms...
A few thunderstorms are possible this afternoon into evening,
mainly along and east of a Stillwater to Henrietta, Texas line.
Any storm that develops will be capable of producing large hail,
damaging winds and carry a very low tornado risk.

Into early Wednesday morning (after 4 AM), additional
thunderstorms are expected to develop across west-central into
southeast Oklahoma. Large hail and damaging winds are the primary
concerns with this activity.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday...

.Thunderstorms...
Episodic strong to severe thunderstorm potential will continue
through at least Thursday afternoon/evening across the area,
especially across south-central into southeastern Oklahoma. Large
hail, damaging winds and a low tornado risk will accompany severe
storms.

.Flooding...
Heavy rainfall and the potential for flash and small stream
flooding will increase by Wednesday afternoon and continue into
the late week, especially across southeastern Oklahoma.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
244 AM CDT Tue May 21 2024

TXZ021>044-220745-
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-Floyd-
Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-Yoakum-
Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall-
244 AM CDT Tue May 21 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains, Rolling
Plains, and the far Southern Texas Panhandle.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Elevated fire weather conditions are expected this afternoon across
the extreme southwestern Texas Panhandle.|

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Chances for thunderstorms exist on Wednesday across the southeastern
Rolling Plains as a cold front moves through the region. Some storms
could be severe, with large hail expected to be the primary hazard.

Thunderstorms may develop during the overnight hours Wednesday into
Thursday morning along and east of the Interstate 27 and Highway 87
corridors. Storms that develop may be capable of producing small
hail and brief downpours.

Low chances for thunderstorms remain in the forecast for the eastern
Rolling Plains on Thursday afternoon. Some storms may be severe.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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